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Basketball Betting – Tying Efficiency to Betting

There are obviously loads of statistical measuring quotients in sports. The NBA is no exception. Over the coming weeks, we'll be talking about some of them, because there is a way you can use them in the process of NBA betting. If, for example, there is a system of measurement that shows someone you may not expect who is doing something virtually "hidden" to help his team win, which when you get right down to it is the name of the game, it would be important to recognize that, especially if it is a team that is performing well beyond expectations against the pointspread.

When a player that shows incredible value through one of these quotients goes down with injury, the effect may be something that doesn't show itself so clearly on paper, but may be much greater than the media, others in the betting public or even the oddsmakers ascribe to it. So this is one of the things you want to be on the lookout for.

One of these measuring sticks is "Efficiency," which is listed among the official stats on the NBA website, and which takes into account the player's overall performance, using stats that are in fact readily available.

It is a formula, which goes like this:

(POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSISTS + STEALS + BLOCKS) minus...

{(FIELD GOALS ATTEMPTED - FIELD GOALS MADE}) +{ (FREE THROWS ATTEMPTED - FREE THROWS MADE) + TURNOVERS}

This is the list of NBA leaders in this category at the conclusion of Monday's games. What I also did was attach the straight-up (SU) and against-the-spread (ATS) records of these teams at the time this was compiled:

1) Kevin Garnett, Celtics -- 37.4 (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS)

2) Carlos Boozer, Jazz -- 30.2 (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS)

3) Kobe Bryant, Lakers -- 29.2 (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS)

4) Yao Ming, Rockets -- 28.7 (6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS)

5) Chris Kaman, Clippers -- 27.5 (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS)

6) Dwight Howard, Magic -- 27.1 (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS)

7) Lamar Odom, Lakers -- 27.0 * (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS)

8) Chris Paul, Hornets -- 26.6 (6-2 SU, 5-2-1 ATS)

9) Steve Nash, Suns -- 26.1 (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS)

10) LeBron James, Cavs -- 25.9 (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS)

(* Odom has played only one game, but qualifies for this category under the NBA's criteria)

Of course, there are some "usual suspects" on this list. You would always look for the likes of Yao, Kobe, Nash an LeBron James, for example. But look at the figures for Kaman, a serviceable but far from dominating center in Los Angeles. Is it any wonder his team is off to a fast start without Elton Brand? Howard is having a great year, and has a little help. So hisMagic team is doing better than expected. And Chris Paul, rising rapidly, has his Hornets talking playoffs. Garnett is a superstar, but his big lead in this category is reflective of the margins his Boston club has been putting on opponents.

Look down the list and you'll see some things you might interpret as evidence. The Portland Trail Blazers covered five of their last six games, so it's probably no coincidence that they have two players in the top 50 - Brandon Roy and LeMarcus Aldridge. Chicago has no one in the top 50, and it's no mystery that the Bulls are 1-5 SU and ATS. Then again, underachieving Golden State, which was 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS through Monday, had two players (Baron Davis and Al Harrington) in the top 30. The problem is, they're getting nothing out of the component parts.

Indeed, we'll take a look at the flip side of this too - the guys who are of no use or little use to their teams. Stick around, as we'll continue to come back to this stat and more innovative measurements.

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